Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3305.352048 3564.329781 3826.322930 4110.881886 4410.894325 4717.469679 5054.090939
2024-12-22 2848.221964 3231.332920 3633.127437 4084.668329 4576.692197 5095.312630 5682.010768
2024-12-29 2621.873012 3087.363371 3588.480025 4165.449930 4808.755729 5501.361420 6300.751710
2025-01-05 2417.178861 2939.050505 3513.533140 4188.573103 4955.667935 5795.960611 6781.606096
2025-01-12 2238.843322 2802.284497 3435.062303 4192.114377 5066.813343 6039.400271 7196.085546
2025-01-19 2017.597726 2599.436788 3265.946447 4077.514329 5030.363762 6105.080505 7400.041232
2025-01-26 1957.696488 2580.901303 3306.047296 4201.229426 5265.357311 6478.774418 7955.441547
2025-02-02 1882.572412 2537.841758 3311.886910 4280.061498 5444.546849 6786.108309 8433.911616
2025-02-09 1774.659253 2447.809681 3255.320819 4278.853738 5524.496775 6974.298110 8771.428229
2025-02-16 1662.960197 2346.757404 3179.663696 4249.238025 5565.914389 7113.600343 9049.003882
2025-02-23 1595.992872 2298.552370 3165.962935 4292.661464 5693.565166 7354.377800 9447.000923
2025-03-02 1515.969528 2229.242865 3122.085639 4295.285469 5768.658702 7530.297103 9766.628537
2025-03-09 1469.193015 2202.585628 3132.343304 4367.023622 5931.750557 7817.032425 10226.464416
2025-03-16 1382.541276 2118.946401 3066.097880 4338.946647 5968.524176 7948.783193 10498.497346
2025-03-23 1348.849125 2104.837232 3088.620771 4423.421181 6146.241311 8254.055194 10984.007399
2025-03-30 1293.562473 2058.303199 3066.112838 4447.600692 6246.141281 8462.442379 11350.734203
2025-04-06 1234.104294 2003.118010 3029.611785 4451.303629 6318.233710 8635.285905 11673.448449
2025-04-13 1132.749931 1884.088006 2902.796675 4331.453656 6227.115935 8599.991356 11734.134919
2025-04-20 1127.108631 1902.092321 2962.609420 4460.834635 6460.866790 8976.796022 12313.907383
2025-04-27 1105.497899 1895.625113 2987.859645 4543.254422 6633.263194 9276.453082 12798.284109
2025-05-04 1056.746600 1846.972907 2952.593318 4541.991826 6694.242438 9433.236249 13102.082252
2025-05-11 1001.052912 1785.500581 2897.109482 4511.030206 6714.151144 9536.151608 13336.917194
2025-05-18 972.662707 1764.154999 2897.540297 4556.426226 6835.756978 9770.720836 13741.057090